Estimation of wind speed and energy potential by atmospheric model for day-ahead market and wind power plants in Turkey

Abstract

The requirement for energy has expanded day by day due to excessive consumption, developing technology, and population growth, especially after the Industrial Revolution. Since the investments for promoting renewable energy sources, The Turkish energy sector has been progressing in the way of renewable energy. This inevitable change in the energy sector and variable power generation values in wind energy directly affect the energy markets. Accompanying with the structural transformation of the energy sector, Turkey had launched the Day-Ahead electricity marketing system in December 2011. The price per megawatt-hour is determined on the open market by the supply and demand. Hatay province was selected in this study because of its highest wind potential. Temperature and wind speed values, observed in Hatay Samandaǧi for October 2019, were determined. The data was configured with The Weather Research and Forecasting Model. The results indicate that the wind speed at high altitudes could reach above 7 meters per second on Turkey's eastern Mediterranean coast, Hatay. The results were compared with the real-time data, and the error rates were determined. In the selected region, the electrical energy values generated using the model results were calculated the day before.