Sea surface temperature change in the mediterranean sea under climate change: A linear model for simulation of the sea surface temperature up to 2100

Abstract

The warming in the inner seas could not be more important and time is certainly running out for it. This study highlights important results about the detectable and predictable warming of the sea surface temperature (SST) in the Mediterranean Sea. The featured analysis of the SST is based on the remote sensed and corrected SST data for the period 1986-2015, and predicted data by using a linear black box model for period 2015-2100. The 30-year (1986-2015) SST analysis shows an increase of about 0.4 degrees C per decade. The most fluctuation in the monthly SST was generally detected at the beginning of the summer period. In the last 30 years of this century (2071-2100), the relative increase in average SST is predicted to be about 5.8 degrees C in the Mediterranean Sea by the model. The analysis and prediction of the recent studies showed a perceptible warming in the sea surface during the last decades, and the warming will also continue to increase under the present environmental condition.